
nflationary pressure is looming as commodity prices tell a different story than CPI data. Crude oil managed to break the $60bbl level, and gold surged back to $926oz from a previous close of $918oz. The inverse relationship between the dollar and gold becomes increasingly apparent as the financial markets take a slow crawl towards stabilization. The fundamental trend we are seeing should persists despite some technical pullbacks along the way, it is very plausible to see gold reach $950oz over the next 6 months. The absence of safe-haven flows may disrupt a bit of the current support behind gold, but the price should prevail as these inflows will be replaced by Traders looking for cheaper instruments to thwart inflation as TIPS look rich at current levels.
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