Sunday, June 28, 2009

Forex Fundamental Outlook Daily Forex Fundamentals | Written by GCI Financial | Jun 26 09 21:07 GMT | Daily Market Commentary - Fundamental O


The euro extended recent gains vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar today as the single currency tested offers around the US$ 1.4115 level and was supported around the $1.3980 level. The common currency has been well-bid from the $1.3890 level during yesterday's North American session and was higher again today on China's latest call to lessen its reliance on the U.S. dollar by advocating a new supranational currency. Data released in the U.S. today saw May personal income rise 1.4% while May personal spending up 0.3%. These data suggest U.S. consumers have raised their marginal savings rate substantially, to the detriment of countries like China that export heavily into the U.S. Despite China's latest calls for a new global currency and despite the unprecedented level of debt being sold by the U.S., recent Treasury auctions have performed very well with a high percentage of indirect bidders - suggesting China may still be recycling its massive current account surplus back into U.S. assets. The May PCE deflation was up 0.1% and final June University of Michigan consumer sentiment printed at 70.8, up from 68.7 in May. The improvement in consumer sentiment took confidence levels to their highest level since September. In eurozone news, German consumer prices were unexpectedly higher in June, up 0.4% m/m and 0.1% y/y. Bank of Italy reported the eurozone's economic contraction eased in June with the EuroCoin indicator falling to -0.61 from -0.89 in May - the fourth consecutive increase. France's finance ministry reported it expects more joblessness over the next several quarters. Euro bids are cited around the US$ 1.3435 level.

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